Friday, August 5, 2011

Stock Markets Returns Following Terrible Months


A reminder that the stock market does rebound. Since 1926, the general stock market, as represented by the S&P 500 - the largest 500 stocks in the US market, has had 61 months with a monthly return of -7% or worse. The average returns of the following years were always positive. The subsequent 1, 3, 5 and 10 year average returns are in the data below: 


                       S&P 500
Start Date
January 1926
End Date
December 2009
Threshold
-7%
Months at or Below Threshold
61
Months in the sample 
1008
Annualized Average Compound
Return Over Subsequent Periods
(starting the next month)
1 Year
7.30%
3 Years
9.10%
5 Years
9.90%
10 Years
8.90%




             

The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Indexes are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Not to be construed as investment advice




No comments:

Post a Comment